Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.579474 0.675525 0.780037 0.901879 1.039686 1.190370 1.367248
2025-01-05 0.412352 0.538141 0.688175 0.878860 1.113156 1.389943 1.739809
2025-01-12 0.309974 0.445934 0.621252 0.860566 1.174922 1.569586 2.097714
2025-01-19 0.243706 0.382113 0.573125 0.850209 1.235010 1.742751 2.454034
2025-01-26 0.203893 0.344904 0.551361 0.866814 1.325837 1.956893 2.874500
2025-02-02 0.172156 0.312564 0.529638 0.877279 1.404632 2.156263 3.285168
2025-02-09 0.146091 0.283704 0.507630 0.882201 1.472406 2.341438 3.684940
2025-02-16 0.128525 0.265477 0.498919 0.904910 1.566438 2.568557 4.157034
2025-02-23 0.111563 0.244991 0.483037 0.912953 1.636328 2.762056 4.588917
2025-03-02 0.091757 0.215290 0.446700 0.881607 1.638306 2.849107 4.861917
2025-03-09 0.082468 0.204520 0.442580 0.904794 1.731087 3.083056 5.374009
2025-03-16 0.073329 0.192285 0.433841 0.918135 1.807100 3.293345 5.858676
2025-03-23 0.068882 0.189824 0.444302 0.969003 1.954437 3.632809 6.575725
2025-03-30 0.059565 0.174426 0.426736 0.964727 2.002938 3.810255 7.038224
2025-04-06 0.050854 0.158565 0.405810 0.951185 2.032625 3.956444 7.455508
2025-04-13 0.043782 0.145200 0.388168 0.941847 2.068486 4.114129 7.898732
2025-04-20 0.039552 0.138457 0.384356 0.960591 2.159179 4.373385 8.528923
2025-04-27 0.035395 0.130961 0.377658 0.972215 2.236270 4.611688 9.133085
2025-05-04 0.031414 0.123017 0.368676 0.977652 2.300897 4.829990 9.711231
2025-05-11 0.028846 0.118823 0.368384 1.002467 2.406587 5.129738 10.448611
2025-05-18 0.025834 0.112438 0.361518 1.011253 2.479185 5.370267 11.088320
2025-05-25 0.021514 0.100366 0.337647 0.977030 2.457470 5.428287 11.393781
2025-06-01 0.019877 0.097427 0.338336 1.002348 2.566128 5.744822 12.194285